not likely和unlikely含义不一样:
1)not likely 表示强烈反对或某事不会发生。(多用于口语)
例句:
He's not likely to come tonight.
他今晚不见得会来。
The meeting is not likely to be held today.
今天会议不大可能召开了。
2)unlikely 未必会发生的,不大可能的。
例句:
The superpowers are unlikely to disarm completely.
超级大国不太可能彻底裁军。
But a spending bonanza is unlikely.
但是,应有尽有也不太可能。